Alright. Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers. Exciting matchup and game
1 of the series is tomorrow. I am a HUGE Detroit Fan, since i am from
the D. Tigers first game back from the West Coast Games. Rick Porcello
will be on the mound tomorrow. He isn't as good as his record
indicates. Its because the Tigers are backing him up with runs. This
Tampa Bay Rays team is a pretty good hitting team and I see Rick
getting lit up tomorrow night. Out of his last 10 games he has started,
he's only lasted 1 time past the 5th inning. Don't get me started with
the Tigers Bullpen...They BLOW! If Tampa is going to win this series
they will need to win this game. I know that Garza sucks playing
against Detroit going 0-3 with a 4.94 earn run average and that Detroit
has dominated Tampa when they are at home winning 10 out of the last
15, but something tells me to play the Rays. I mean this is a very good
spot to back Tampa Bay because of the West Coast Swing and Tampa is
inching closer to the wild card spot.
Here are some interesting trends to look at...
.Rays are 7-1 in Garzas last 8 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rays are 5-1 in Garzas last 6 Friday starts.
- Rays are 4-1 in Garzas last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Tigers are 1-4 in Porcellos last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Tigers are 1-4 in Porcellos last 5 starts vs. American League East.
This line is just absurd to be honest. It should really be closer to
even. The Rays' problem this season has been on the road. If they would
only have a .500 record on the road, they'd be right in on this race.
They are 9 games under .500 on the road while the Tigers are 20...thats
right TWENTY(40-20) games over .500 at home. Throw the pitching matchup
out the window here, the Tigers should not be home dogs and the Rays
should not be home favs. But the question is, why would vegas set a
line like this. Getting Detroit Tigers at + money at home has to be too
easy right? NOPE in my opinion i believe people will pound Detroit
tomorrow and vegas will cash in. This is one of those tough games that
stand out. But this is the only game i can see the Rays winning in this
series. The other games will be awfully tough for them to win since
Saturday and Sunday is a home day game and Detroit has been very good
during the day especially at home. If you plan on betting the Rays i
would suggest waiting because i beleive the line will fall to pretty
close to even money. Just wait until all the idiots pound the Tigers
and then we take advantage. I hate betting against the Tigers because
they are my favorite team but tomorrow is a good spot so let's do this
shit and win. PEACE!